Sunday, May 24, 2020

OOTP hitters face extreme velocity

The game reports don't directly allow us to see what the average velocity is, but there is a way to estimate:

Take the listed velocity range for each pitcher.  For Silveran Kanan Bonis, this is 99-101.  Take the mid point, in this case 100.  Weight that by his total batters faced.  Repeat for every pitcher in the league and we get:

AVG Fastball speed = 93.8

That is even higher than MLB, which had an average fastball speed of 93.1 in 2019. MLB velocity was up from 91.2 in 2007, the first year pitch f/x data was available.

Historically, fastballs averaged 88.9 in 2002, as reported by Fangraphs.  The source of this data is STATS Inc., presumably from scorers recording this from the velocity shown on game broadcasts.

In 1983, the average fastball was 88.7 MPH, as estimated using a Scouting Report book published before the 1984 season.

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